Why 500,000 Traders Use This Supply & Demand Strategy | Ft. Arun & Sooraj

ELI5 / TLDR

Two self-taught traders, Arun and Sooraj, founders of the GTF (Get Together Finance) community, explain the one idea they’ve built a whole school around: big institutions can’t buy a large position all at once, so they leave unfilled “pending” buy orders behind at certain price levels. Spot those levels — they show up on a chart as a quiet, narrow squeeze of candles followed by one violent green candle — and you’ve found a “demand zone” where price is likely to bounce when it returns. The rest is housekeeping: look at the same stock across several timeframes to refine the zone, put a tight stop-loss just below it, ignore the news, and avoid thinly-traded penny stocks that anyone can fake. It’s a clean repackaging of a popular trading framework, wrapped in a long pitch for their free 52-hour course.

The Full Story

The one question that started it

Arun and Sooraj met in college around 2013, traded on a shared demat account before they were even old enough to have their own, and started — like everyone — by getting lucky. A silver trade, then a crude oil inventory spike that doubled their money in a day, then the next inventory release that gave it all back. After a year of “tukke” (flukes), they stopped trading and decided to actually learn first.

Their method came from googling a child’s question: why do share prices go up and down? Eight of ten websites gave the same two-word answer — demand and supply. So they spent the next three or four years chasing that single idea to its logical end.

“Pichhle kitne saalon se ye 2 concept hai — demand aur supply — sabko maalum hai. Lekin aapka focus sirf 1 cheez mein raha.”

Everyone knows the words. Their wager is that almost nobody follows them all the way down.

The institutional footprint

The central claim is simple. When a big player wants to buy a large quantity, the sellers to fill that order aren’t all sitting there waiting. So part of the order fills, price jumps, and the rest stays as pending orders that the institution doesn’t cancel. And — this is the load-bearing assumption — price only moves because something is left pending:

“Agar pending order nahi rahe, saare order execute ho gaye, toh price ke paas koi reason hi nahi hai jaane ka.”

So when price later drifts back to that level, those leftover orders execute and price spikes again. Find where the big money left work unfinished, stand in the same spot, and you ride the same move.

How do you find it on a chart? You can’t see institutional order books, so they read the candles instead. A cluster of small, narrow “base candles” means buyers and sellers fought in a tight range. If that fight ends with a big “exciting” or “explosive” green candle — a sharp rally with a wide gap between open and close — they read it as evidence of heavy pending demand. The bigger the timeframe the candle appears on, the more orders are presumed stuck there, because a monthly green candle represents a whole month of continuous buying, not one day’s enthusiasm.

Refining the zone with multiple timeframes

A single monthly demand zone is too wide to trade — the stop-loss would be enormous. So they zoom in. Take the broad zone from the monthly (or quarterly, or yearly) chart, drop to the daily, and find the narrow patch inside it where the explosive move actually began. That overlap — where the high-timeframe zone and the low-timeframe zone agree — is the entry. Stop-loss goes just below the base of the rally. They walked through this on NMDC, Union Bank, L&T, Bandhan Bank and Coal India: mark the higher-timeframe zone, refine on a lower one, wait for price to return, enter, place a tight stop.

The strategy scales to any horizon. Intraday traders use daily down to 15-minute; swing traders top out at weekly; investors work from quarterly and yearly charts. The timeframe isn’t chosen by mood — the stock decides what it’s offering.

”We are beggars to the market”

This was the line the host flagged as the most important of the conversation. Most people, they argue, decide in advance — “today I’ll do intraday” — open Nifty, and force a trade that the chart isn’t offering.

“We are beggars to the market. Market jo degi, usi mein se mujhe choose karna padega.”

If a stock is offering an intraday setup, trade it intraday. If it’s offering an investment setup, hold it. You don’t manufacture an opportunity; you take the one that exists. The corollary is that you always check the higher timeframe first, even for a five-minute trade — so your small bet runs in the direction of the big tide instead of against an unseen supply zone overhead.

News is an advertisement

They borrow a line from The Intelligent Investor — every piece of news is an advertisement — and run hard with it. Good results, stock falls; bad results, stock soars. To them this is noise to be filtered through one lens only: demand and supply. They go further and claim that whenever price reaches a quality demand zone, some scary news reliably appears that same day to frighten retail into selling, conveniently handing institutions their sellers. The advice that follows is sound even if the conspiracy framing isn’t: don’t read news, read the actual numbers (they recommend screener.in for historical financials) or read the chart, and pick one — be a chart analyst or a news analyst, not a confused blend of both.

Quality stocks only

Asked whether this works on small- and micro-caps, they’re firm: avoid them. A penny stock with tiny equity can be manipulated by anyone, so a “demand zone” there might be a trap with no real pending orders behind it. Stick to liquid large- and mid-caps that no single player can move. They also offer a neat sanity check for stocks that have fallen hard with no good news: if a company once traded at a one-lakh-crore valuation with solid books and now sits at forty-five, a little research — fundamental or technical — usually tells you whether it’s a genuine opportunity or a value trap.

Where the conviction came from

Not from a book — they’re explicit that this exact method isn’t in the CMT curriculum or fully in ICT material. It came from watching charts through crisis after crisis and seeing the pattern hold: metals in the 2018 US-China trade war, PSU banks from 2020 (“we were recommending PSU when nobody loved it; people only started loving PSU after 2023”). When the same zones kept working through wars and slowdowns, “100% conviction” followed. They watch three to four hours of charts a day beyond market hours, and advise tracking a fixed watchlist of 200-300 stocks rather than the whole market — “those stocks will start talking to you.”

Risk, psychology, and the boring truth

The single biggest mistake they see: converting a trade into an investment, or vice versa. You enter a trade, your view is wrong, and instead of cutting it you tell yourself “it’ll come back” and hold it forever. Now every losing trade migrates into a bloated portfolio of underwater positions — and worse, you sized it like a trade (large quantity for a quick move), so the losses compound. The fix is a pre-committed plan: target and stop-loss defined before entry, and an honest label — this is a trade, that is an investment — with position size to match.

The psychology, they insist, is half the game.

“Process always boring hoga. Excitement result ke time aana chahiye, process ke time nahi.”

Don’t make daily profit the goal — chasing a fixed ₹2,000 a day pushes you into junk trades and revenge trading. Make not missing your best setup the goal, and the profit follows. Leave your ego at home; don’t try to prove yourself to the market, try to understand it. Sooraj’s “worst trade” wasn’t a loss — it was exiting an L&T trade intraday for a decent profit when it ran 5% the next day, and the regret that lingered, because regret is what makes you do something stupid next time.

The conversation closes on a long, warm stretch of self-promotion: their entire premium course is now free (52 hours, “watch it seriously and you’ll never need to learn anything else”), 500,000+ registered users, 40-50% arriving via word of mouth, and a sincere bit about faith and changing lives rather than chasing numbers.

Key Takeaways

Demand zone = base candles + explosive candle. A narrow, rangebound cluster of small-bodied candles followed by one wide green candle marks where institutional buy orders likely remain pending.
The mechanism: price returns to the zone, leftover pending orders execute, price bounces. Bigger timeframe = more presumed pending orders = stronger zone.
Demand/supply is the inverse of support/resistance: S/R gets stronger with each test; a demand zone gets weaker with each test. S/R gives no clean entry; a demand zone gives a precise entry with a tight stop just below the base.
Multi-timeframe analysis: mark the zone on a higher timeframe, refine the entry on a lower one; trade where the two overlap. Three timeframes per setup.
Match style to the stock, not your mood — intraday/swing/investment is decided by what setup the chart offers, but always check the higher timeframe first.
Stop-loss sits just below the base of the rally; size the quantity to your risk, not your hopes.
Avoid low-liquidity penny stocks — fake, easily manipulated zones.
Ignore news; read numbers (screener.in) or the chart. Pick one analytical lens, not a blend.
Don’t convert a trade into an investment to avoid taking a loss — the cardinal risk-management sin.
Goal = don’t miss the best setup, not daily profit. Patience compounds; excitement belongs at the result.

Claude’s Take

This is a competent, watchable explainer of a framework that’s genuinely popular with Indian retail traders — and it’s worth knowing that “supply and demand zones / order blocks” is essentially the ICT / smart-money-concepts vocabulary that’s been circulating for a decade, here given a clean Hindi repackaging and a brand (GTF). Arun and Sooraj are articulate, unusually humble about their luck-driven start, and the back half on risk management and psychology is the strongest material in the video: don’t average down a losing trade, size to risk, separate trading from investing, make process the goal. That advice is sound regardless of what you think of the entry method.

The entry method itself rests on an unfalsifiable story. “Price only moves because orders are pending” and “a big green candle proves institutional pending orders remain” are claims you can’t see, test, or disprove — you can always point to a narrow base before any rally after the fact, and quietly ignore the zones that broke. They concede the honest part out loud — “we cannot stop anybody from buying or selling,” zones break ~20% of the time — but then wrap it in “100% conviction” and a claim that scary news reliably prints the very day price hits a good zone, which is the kind of pattern a brain finds because it’s looking for it. No win-rate data, no backtest, no audit trail — just chart examples chosen in hindsight.

And the whole thing is an ad. It’s an Upsurge Club episode hosting course-sellers, with repeated subscribe/like prompts and a sustained pitch for the “free” 52-hour course (free courses being the standard top-of-funnel for paid communities and brokerage referral revenue). The “500,000 traders use this” headline is a registration count, not evidence the method works. Score: 5 — clear delivery and a few genuinely useful habits, dragged down by an untestable core mechanism and heavy promotional tilt. Useful as a window into how a large slice of Indian retail is being taught to read charts; not something to mistake for an edge.